LIC Share Price Hits Record High: A Comprehensive Analysis

Introduction:

On Friday, Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) of India made headlines as its share price soared to a new record high of Rs 1,197 per share on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The remarkable surge represents a 3.1% gain in intraday trading. As of noon, the share price settled at Rs 1,192, marking a 2.7% increase compared to a modest 0.8% rise in the benchmark BSE Sensex. Trading volumes were notably high, with approximately 4 million shares changing hands across the NSE and BSE.

With this impressive gain, LIC’s market capitalization (m-cap) surged to approximately Rs 7.56 trillion, positioning it as the second largest listed public sector company in India. On the overall m-cap leaderboard, LIC now ranks eighth among listed companies, trailing behind industry giants such as Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy Services, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Bharti Airtel, Infosys, and State Bank of India.

Performance in 2024

In the year 2024 alone, LIC’s share price has experienced a substantial increase of 39.2% on the BSE. This is in stark contrast to the broader market performance, with the Sensex index rising by about 12% during the same period. July has been particularly fruitful for LIC, with its stock price rallying by 17.3%.

Factors Driving the Surge:

The recent uptick in LIC’s share price is attributed to several key factors:

Growth in Market Share:

LIC has seen a significant increase in its market share within the new business premium (NBP) segment. According to a Business Standard report, LIC’s market share in the NBP rose to 64.02% in Q1FY25, up from 59.59% in Q4FY24 and 61.42% in Q1FY24. This growth is primarily driven by a substantial incre

LIC’s Share Price Soars to All-Time High: What You Need to Know:

Regulatory Changes: The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (Irdai) has mandated new norms aimed at improving payouts for customers who exit their policies prematurely. The introduction of these norms, effective by September 30, 2024, is expected to lead to stronger growth in the sale of non-linked or traditional policies, benefiting LIC. Analysts anticipate that insurers may engage in “fire-sales” to adjust their offerings before these regulatory changes take effect.

Financial Performance and Future Outlook:

LIC’s financial performance for the first quarter of FY25 will be reviewed by its Board of Directors on August 8, 2024. For the March quarter of FY24, LIC reported a 2.5% year-on-year (Y-o-Y) increase in net profit, reaching Rs 13,762.64 crore, attributed to wage revisions and arrears.

The annualized premium equivalent (APE) grew by 10.7% to Rs 21,180 crore, while the value of new business premium (VNB) saw a slight decline of 1.6% to Rs 3,645 crore.

Despite a 1.6% dip in VNB for the quarter, LIC’s annual VNB growth for FY24 was robust, increasing by 4% Y-o-Y to Rs 9,580 crore.

Analysts at Ashika Institutional Equities anticipate even stronger VNB growth in FY25, with a projected improvement in VNB margin to 19-20% by FY26E.

The management of LIC has emphasized a strategic shift towards profitability over market share expansion, focusing on increasing the share of profitable non-participating (non-par) business. The company’s plan includes boosting its agency force in Tier-II and Tier-III cities to drive growth.

Investment Outlook:

Given LIC’s strong quarterly performance, positive market dynamics, and strategic focus, analysts are optimistic about the company’s future. Ashika Institutional Equities has maintained a ‘Buy’ rating for LIC’s stock, with a target price of Rs 1,430. The expected double-digit growth in embedded value (EV) and VNB margin underscores a positive outlook for LIC, with expectations of continued strong performance and increased profitability.

Conclusion:

LIC’s share price reaching a record high reflects a combination of robust market share growth, favorable regulatory changes, and strong financial performance. As the company continues to navigate the evolving insurance landscape, it is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and drive shareholder value.

FAQ:

1. What recent milestone has LIC achieved?
LIC’s share price recently hit a record high of Rs 1,197 per share on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). This new peak marks a 3.1% gain in intraday trading.

2. What factors contributed to LIC’s share price surge?
Several factors contributed to the rise in LIC’s share price:

  • Increased Market Share: LIC’s market share in new business premiums (NBP) rose to 64.02% in Q1FY25, up from 59.59% in Q4FY24 and 61.42% in Q1FY24.
  • Regulatory Changes: Recent regulatory changes by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (Irdai) are expected to boost sales of non-linked or traditional policies, benefitting LIC.
  • Strong Financial Performance: LIC has shown strong financial performance with significant growth in annualized premium equivalent (APE) and stable profit margins.

3. How has LIC’s share price performed in 2024?
In 2024, LIC’s share price has surged by 39.2% on the BSE. In July alone, the stock has rallied by 17.3%, outperforming the benchmark BSE Sensex, which has risen by about 12% during the same period.

4. What is LIC’s current market capitalization and how does it rank?
LIC’s market capitalization (m-cap) has reached approximately Rs 7.56 trillion, making it the second-largest listed public sector company in India. It ranks eighth overall among listed companies in India.

5. What are the upcoming financial events for LIC?
LIC’s Board of Directors is scheduled to meet on August 8, 2024, to review and approve the financial results for Q1FY25 (April-June quarter). The results will provide more insight into the company’s performance and future outlook.

6. How have LIC’s financials been performing?
For the March quarter of FY24, LIC reported a 2.5% year-on-year increase in net profit to Rs 13,762.64 crore. The annualized premium equivalent (APE) grew by 10.7% to Rs 21,180 crore, while the value of new business premium (VNB) saw a slight decline of 1.6% to Rs 3,645 crore.

7. What is the outlook for LIC’s stock?
Analysts have a positive outlook for LIC’s stock. Ashika Institutional Equities, for example, has a ‘Buy’ rating with a target price of Rs 1,430. They expect continued strong performance with double-digit growth in embedded value (EV) and an improvement in VNB margin to 19-20% by FY26E.

8. How is LIC adapting to regulatory changes?
LIC is adapting to new regulations by focusing on increasing its share of profitable non-par business and expanding its agency force, especially in Tier-II and Tier-III cities. The company is also expected to adjust its products and commission structures in response to the regulatory changes mandated by Irdai.

9. What should investors watch for in the coming months?
Investors should monitor LIC’s upcoming financial results, any updates related to regulatory changes, and the company’s strategic adjustments to its product offerings. Continued growth in market share and financial performance will be key indicators of the company’s future stock performance.

10. Where can I find more information about LIC’s stock performance?
For the latest updates on LIC’s stock performance, market analysis, and financial reports, investors can visit the BSE and NSE websites, consult financial news outlets, and review reports from financial analysts and institutions.

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